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I came here from @ElectricViking channel to say this speech by Tony Seba is incredibly insightful. The individual technologies and their individual trajectories are very predictable. Observations like Moore's Law are obvious in isolation. But Tony's insight of looking across many technologies and predicting when they will combine into a single disruptive event, that's genius. Speeches like this make me optimistic for the future. Global energy supplied by renewables such as solar. Electrified transport. Autonomous vehicles. It will be obvious to everyone in hindsight but after watching this speech, it is obvious in foresight as well.

You don’t wanna eliminate carbon from the atmosphere carbon is a plant food, and if you would eliminate carbon from the atmosphere, the human population would die

TaaS hasn't worked yet. For that reason, we are not seeing the pace of transition he predicted.

The most important question is, how can it be managed that all the benefits reach the average citizen and do not lead to the phenomenon that rich people get even richer and the majority of people do not benefit much. Look how much progress we had in the last 60 years, but while even a usual worker could feed a family back then, today that is barely possible.

It is remarkable how spot on he was with so many predictions.

While I agree that electric cars are the future and even if all new cars in 2030 are electric the oil and gas industry will not "collapse" There are 283,400,986 registered vehicles in the USA. They will not disappear over night. There will be a slow decline as they get replaced.

Tesla is perfectly placed to disrupt almost every aspect of our daily lives in unbelievable ways. Buckle up, its not even 10 years away

Great talk Tony....Thank You! Be good!!

The model 3 is now under 40k

The AI of today is pretty pathetic, because there is not enough training of any models with real data. 😂

The video is from 2017. Even Google/YT would know and could put a date.

Watching today 2024 yrs on one feels the same, whats the angle

Thanks for this important information Tony. Could you research into the future cost of living accommodations? As I see your predictions show many cost reductions, in transport, food, labor, intelligence, energy, but what could disrupt the cost of housing. My and most people's income is not increasing at the same rate as the cost of housing. I hope there is a disruption coming to fix this.

Ok, let's say it is true that TAAS will be really cheaper than car ownership, ok! But what about public transport?! Will be cheaper TAAS than public transport in cities? And what about railways, darlin'?! Also, I have to mention that urban mobility (and not only that) should be *a complementary* system, in which all forms of transport have their roles, and *NOT* a winner-takes-all race-to-the-bottom. Thanks. 🙂

Great video she seems like a top speaker!

Charlie, great interview! 🫶🏾🌻🦋

Leading tv presenter. 😂😂😂

Should post the date of this talk

Telling the Saudis that oil will be obsolete 😂

900,000 Tesla owners would be saved not plebs who can't afford Teslas and the payments that the rent seekers want 😂

How about a bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush. IS THAT ASTROPHYSICAL ENUFF FOR YOU

Gay crapiot

See Dalai Lama on about some renewable energy day or something, solar even biggest stuff they got not really power s house, and wind, I see ufo z turn up and weather go soft and if u could control weather who control it to be windy? So I dno. I cleaned a beach once I know what point is. Have invent machine try remove plastic from sea impressed those voyages . Pacific has huge waves all stuff u done. I wouldn’t have guts.

Tesla's are 9 times safer than average Driver.??..........I am 1000 times safer than average driver.......I do not allow a computer to drive My car.................Paul

Never trust a heathen to spew nonsense on life origins, who should state unequivocally he gots no clue, how the universe and life started.

I say we need to embrace "very good" and stop obsessing about "perfect." Level 2 and Level 3 ADA systems are making cars much safer, and should now be an included safety feature in all cars. Level 5 "perfection" (FSD) is still way off in the future -no matter what E'loon keeps promising, year after year after year.

This man is truly a national treasure- just watch his scenes in I Claudius for example.

Good talk but from years ago now

Corn sugar is uncool, high fructose corn syrup on the ingredient label. When I was body building I remember..wait it was a food combing diet.Sugar impedes protein digestion or absorption,don’t remember which.Maybe both.

why put up old material wheres the update or at least be honest about the video age?

This is great but technically speaking gravity hasn't been settled science for 400years. There's been general relativity plus potentially quantum gravity.

I never subscribe to a channel if they ask for me to subscribe within the first few minutes instead of at the end. You never even made it a minute in. SO.....nope. Also wtf is this old talk reuploaded for?

This is not an exclusive interview but a recycling of an old presentation. If you cannot be honest why should anyone subscribe to you? I certainly won't.

love the predictions, but exaggerations reduce confidence in the credibility of the predictions: 1.6 m kilometer in a Tesla; show me one with the same driveline that have done that and 140 t.miles for ICE ? Hertz are not happy with there EV, its not black and white. 40k $ pickup supplies a home; Ford F-150 LightningPro cost 60k$ and all the stuff needed and installation 10-20 k$

When and where was the recording taken?

I love how Tony Seba presents those transformations co clearly. A challenge thought comes to my mind with this particular one. Like Elon Musk was saying, that if today all cars become self driven - those who experience the driving fatalities as say family members, would first see the 100 thousand dead per year rather then the 900 thousand lifes saved. But I am optimistic, particularly as people learn that technology or not - everyone creates each of their life experiences through ongoing emotional, mental focus- we will get to the other side peacefully :-)

Tony is wrong about Tesla FSD. It won't be as good as a human driver for a long time, well after 2030. He's quite naive about the difficulty of Level 5 driving, and how good Autopilot was in 2021.

"EVs are superior" - I agree - which is why I bought one - the world's best selling car - the Tesla Model Y.

Love Tony but he has no issue with us buying Chinese EVs. This is despite China being a hostile adversary to the US. The CCP has an industrial strategy to subsidize their car companies to sell EVs below cost because they want to drive US, Japanese, and European companies out of business. The fact that the market is being distorted (not a level playing field) is not covered in Tony's analysis.

Pop scientist literally

Gravity as a phenomenon is widely acknowledged. However General Relatively is not the final theory concerning it. The field equations include Newton's gravitational constant which goes unexplained. The theory does not include an explanation of inertia. Mach's principle has not been included.

Yes, the price of oil briefly went negative, but it had nothing to do with electrification. It was because of a pandemic where everyone was under a lockdown and there were no cars in the street, or planes in the sky. Let’s not get confused here.

He's extraordinary

Talk from late 2021.

Before Isaac newton we were floating around in zero G😂😂

It's a shame, that this stolen 4year old video, is promoted as"Exclusive Interview" in the thumbnail. People should dislike this video and this channel into oblivion.

Tony would have to stop repeating himself so often, repeating himself so often, before I bothered to take him seriously, take him seriously.

lying about how long an ICE engine will last, im out

Why re upload this talk from two years ago?

The mechanics of the car may be 1 million miles, but the interior certainly won't if these cars are used for TaaS. You get, maybe, 20000 miles out of the interior.